Category Archives: Obama

RBC Result for Michigan: 34.5-29.5 Delegate Split (69-59, 1/2 Vote Each)

Same link as before.  Again, this is quite unjust, and even moreso since Obama wasn’t even on the ballot.  Undoubtedly, many stayed home because of this.  In fact, given the number of “Uncommitted” votes, Obama had a strong chance to win if the contest were run fairly.  But again, it almost undoubtedly will not affect the outcome. 

It looks like Clinton will take the issue to the Credentials Committee, but hopefully a superdelegate flood post-June 3rd will stop that in its tracks.

The Magic Number appears to be at 64.  Obama has 2053 delegates with 2117 needed.

Cheers,
Charlie

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RBC Result for Florida: All Delegates Will Be Seated With a Half Vote Each

http://demconwatch.blogspot.com/2008/05/welcome-back.html

The vote was apparently unanimous.  It’s wrong that any delegates from Florida will be seated, and it’s very unfair to Obama, his supporters, and the rest of the country.  But since it almost undoubtedly won’t change the outcome, it had to be done to calm the complainers.  The unanimous vote will likely quell any possibility of a Clinton appeal, at least.

Still waiting on results from the RBC in regards to Michigan.  The reasonable guess is probably the 69-59 split.

Will update the Magic Number when possible.

Cheers,
Charlie

The Extremely Likely Explosion to an Extremely Unlikely Situation

It’s been awhile since I’ve bothered to post anything substantive, and I recently entered a cycle in which I’ve posted nothing at all.  We are in the dregs of the campaign (yet again), and the arguments are entrenched.  Clinton continues to argue her tortured “popular vote” count, Florida and Michigan absurdly remain an issue, and Clinton supporters (or Republicans posing as Clinton supporters) continue to say that if Clinton doesn’t win, they’ll vote McCain.

It’s really hard to tell which argument is the most absurd and all have been argued to death.  Everything has been said ad nauseam, so repeating it here would be useless.  However, there’s one thing that absolutely has to be said in response to the last argument (and has been said in the past, a number of times by me, but not much recently). 

The apparent reason for the argument is that it would persuade superdelegates to endorse Clinton out of fear that these individuals won’t vote Obama in November.  Obviously, this shows a calculation such that its veracity is highly doubtful.  Assuming it was true however, just imagine what would happen if the superdelegates did overturn the election.  What in the world do these people think would happen if the superdelegates did vote the way they wanted them to?  Of course there are people on both sides who wouldn’t vote for the other side even if won fairly, but it would be far more damaging to the Democratic Party to steal the election away from Obama than it would be by allowing the results to stand: a fair win by Obama.

I can’t help but hit on this point again and again (as I have in this weblog).  It’s so obvious, and yet we continue to have Clinton supporters threaten a McCain vote.  It’s insane to say such a thing in the first place, and insane to assume that there would be no negative reaction if the superdelegates did overturn the result.

That said, the Magic Number stands at 45, and assuming the RBC doesn’t completely screw things up this weekend, it shouldn’t veer off from this too much.  So, yet again, it’s basically over.

Cheers,
Charlie

Superdelegates: It is Now Time to Save Your Party

Superdelegates, I know you’ve probably been waiting to let this process “play itself out” and only make your endorsement only after all the Primaries are held.  Well, you’ve allowed the Party to become more and more split by your non-action, and in the past few days, we now have events like this: Florida delegates file lawsuit to get delegation seated.  If you care one iota about keeping your Party together, if you have any inkling of a desire to win in November, it’s time to finally act to end this nonsense that is doing nothing but angering both sides.

Plus, if you act now, maybe all the delegates from Florida and Michigan could be seated as is anyway.

Cheers,
Charlie

Clinton Cartoon and Obama’s Magic Number

Not much to say today (yet), but I had to pass along this editorial cartoon by Mike Luckovich:

On another note, Obama’s Magic Number now stands at 62.

Cheers,
Charlie

Internet Comment: The Democratic Primaries are the Next American Idol

Even though I really don’t know what the complaint is about, my favorite Internet comment today: From “Christine V from Dallas, TX” in response to Poll: Obama gaining support with key Clinton demographics:

HOW CONVENIENT!!! THAT YOU SHOW THIS NOW

Gallup’s results released Tuesday are based on a survey of 1,261 Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters using combined data from May 16-18, 2008.

BIASED BRAINWASHING TECHNIQUE OBAMA REPORTING!
OH OK FORGET ABOUT THE OTHER MILLIONS!!!

YOU MEDIA PEOPLE AND OBAMA PEOPLE ARE REALLY WORRIED AREN’T YOU….WAIT TILL NOVEMBER WHEN MILLIONS WILL SHOW UP IN FAVOR OF HILLARY OR MCCAIN AND
NOT YOUR PRODUCT AMERICAN IDOL!

It’s a thing of beauty.  And I can kind of picture Geraldine Ferraro as the angry, bitter counterpart to Paula Abdul.

Cheers,
Charlie

The Answer To the Obama Sexism Question: *crickets, crickets*

Looks like the question I posed yesterday was also asked in the discussion section of Slate.com’s XX Factor Blog, located here.  And, like here, there have been no specifics (or even generalities for that matter) stated.  A person did point out that Ferraro gave one example, and it was when Obama said Clinton was like Annie Oakley when she talked about her gun experience.  I’m not sure how that’s sexist, unless comparing a woman to a woman is sexist in itself.

It sounds like this is yet another “impression” issue.  It was created out of nothing, but has taken hold amongst a not-too-small number.

Cheers,
Charlie